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Cross-border prudential policy spillovers: How much? How important? Evidence from the international banking research network

机译:跨境审慎政策溢出效应:多少钱?有多重要?来自国际银行业研究网络的证据

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摘要

The development of macroprudential policy tools has been one of the most significant changes in banking regulation in recent years. In this multi-study initiative of the International Banking Research Network (IBRN), researchers from 15 central banks and 2 international organizations use micro-banking data in conjunction with a novel dataset of prudential instruments to study international spillovers of prudential policy changes for bank lending growth. The collective analysis has three main findings. First, prudential instrument effects sometimes spill over across borders through bank lending. Second, international spillovers vary across prudential instruments and are heterogeneous across banks. Bank-specific factors like balance sheet conditions and business models drive the amplitude and direction of spillovers to lending growth rates. Third, international spillovers of prudential policy on loan growth rates have not been large on average. However, our results tend to underestimate the full effect by focusing on adjustment along the intensive margin and by analyzing a period in which relatively few countries implemented country-specific macroprudential policies.
机译:近年来,宏观审慎政策工具的发展一直是银行业监管领域最重大的变化之一。在国际银行研究网络(IBRN)的这项多研究计划中,来自15个中央银行和2个国际组织的研究人员将微银行数据与审慎工具的新颖数据集结合起来,研究了审慎政策变化对银行贷款的国际溢出效应增长。集体分析有三个主要发现。首先,审慎的工具效应有时会通过银行贷款跨境蔓延。其次,国际溢出效应在审慎工具之间有所不同,并且在银行之间是不同的。诸如资产负债表状况和商业模式之类的银行特定因素驱动着溢出对贷款增长率的幅度和方向。第三,审慎政策对贷款增长率的国际溢出平均程度并不大。但是,我们的结果往往偏重于沿集约化幅度进行调整,并通过分析一个相对较少的国家实施针对特定国家的宏观审慎政策的时期,往往低估了全部效果。

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